January 01, 2021
The Weekly Brief
The Weekly Brief
January 01, 2021
More Episodes
More Episodes
Delinquency rates for credit cards and auto loans are rising—in some cases approaching 2008 levels.
We are seeing the employment picture respond more and more to rate hikes which could pose potential risks to the soft-landing scenario.
S&P500 returns have been driven almost entirely by seven stocks, and these stocks have become more and more overvalued.
Markets are currently pricing that the Fed funds rate will bottom at 4% in 2025 and start rising again from there.
The seven biggest stocks in the S&P500 are up more than 50%, while the remaining 493 are basically flat.
With high rates and slowing earnings, the outlook for the 60/40 portfolio remains negative.
With inflation forecasts rising and growth forecasts falling in Europe, we can expect the ECB to keep rates elevated.
Risks of a recession remain elevated in the US, UK, and Europe according to the consensus view.
No pages containing all your search terms were found.
Suggestions:
- Make sure all words are spelled correctly.
- Try different keywords.
- Try more general keywords.
